A statistical look at the Lions, Tigers, Pistons, Red Wings, Spartans and Wolverines

Monday, July 13, 2009

Joe D. trades Afflalo and Sharpe to Denver in a salary cap move

Welcome to the wonderful world that is the NBA salary cap. The Pistons traded Aaron Afflalo and Walter Sharpe to Denver for a future second round pick. Afflalo was a first round pick in 2007 (27th overall) and Sharpe (32nd overall) was a early second round pick that we got in the D.J. White deal. So, in essence, we traded two late first round picks for cap space. Rumors have circulated that we are in talks to acquire Carlos Boozer or Tyson Chandler in a potential trade and/or that we may sign Glen Davis or Dwight Gooden in free agency. The move clears up $1.8 million in salary and what follows is a breakdown of our salary cap situation by Dave Dial...

"With the news that the Detroit Pistons have traded Arron Afflalo and Walter Sharpe to Denver to obtain more cap space this summer, let's look at what the move does for the cap space the Pistons have after the trade.

Photobucket

That chart shows the Pistons have almost $52.9 million in salary, as far as the NBA salary cap rules are concerned. By trading Afflalo and Sharpe the Pistons do not receive the full value of shedding each players contract because there is a rule stating that for each roster slot under 12, a team has to put a minimum salary in that slot.

A roster charge if the team has fewer than 12 players (players under contract, free agents included in team salary, players given offer sheets, and first round draft picks). The roster charge is equal to the rookie minimum salary for each player below 12. The roster charge only applies during the offseason.

The minimum salary for the 2009-2010 season set by the NBA is $457,588. So you have to add that amount to both slots left vacant by Afflalo and Sharpe, since the Piston roster had exactly 12 players before the trade.

There are different numbers associated with Jason Maxiell's contract. Some websites have him listed with a 4-year extension set at $5 million per year, instead of the escalating contract that I have(and that is normally used). Here is what the Pistons cap situation would look like if Maxiell's contract was set at $5 million per year.

Photobucket

So the Pistons committed salary is either $52.9 or $53.5 million, depending on how Maxiell's contract was structured. Which would leave the Pistons with $4.2-$4.8 million of cap space after the trade with Denver. What the Pistons do with that space is not yet known. There are rumors they will attempt to sign Glen (Big Baby) Davis, and there is some speculation that Dumars made the move to initiate a trade of larger proportions."

-All of the cap projections that I have seen have Max's contract at $5 million next season, so I believe that the projected total of $53.528, 793 million is the correct one. With the salary cap set at $57.7 million, we should have $4.2 million in cap space. That should be enough to bring in Glen Davis or Drew Gooden as a free agent acquisition and it also clears up a potential trade for Boozer or Chandler. Joe D. could go a lot of different directions so I am not sure if it is even fair to speculate. Either way, we need help in the front court and if the trade route is the one they may be going, then Max, Brown, Rip and Prince will be on the trading block.

-As for what we will be losing....

  • Afflalo appeared in 74 games this season and played in 16.7 minutes a night (16.5 in the playoffs). He was our best 3 point shooter last year (that will probably be Ben Gordon this year) and averaged roughly 5 points a game. More than anything, though, he was a dependable and good defender off the bench at the 2 guard spot. He will probably never be better than a second guard off the bench but he is the type of guy who could fill a role on a championship team (smart bench player who can shoot the 3/stretch the defense and play quality defense). With Gordon, Hamilton and Stuckey, I kind of liked the idea of giving Afflalo a little more minutes this season to help us on the defensive end of the court. Until I see the next move, and there will be a next move, I cannot really comment on this trade. We need frontcourt help, but I do feel as if Afflalo is a guy we will miss this season and in the coming years if we become a championship contender.
  • Sharpe was a terrible pick by Dumars. He rarely played in college at UAB, had off court trouble, and did nothing to stand out to warrant a selection when players like Mario Chalmers and Luc Mbah a Moute were available. This was always one of those picks that GM's sometimes make to show how smart they really are or believe that they are. No one had Sharpe on the radar and if Sharpe panned out, how good would that make Joe D. look? On the flip side, this pick tanked and we lost out on a chance to draft a guy like Mario Chalmers who would be a great backup PG, at least (he started every game for Miami last year). I like Joe D. and feel that he is a top 5 GM in the NBA, but this was an awful and inexcusable pick from day 1. This trade just confirms that.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Marcus Thames has been statistically the Tigers BEST hitter this year! C'mon, if Cabrera can get an A-, Thames HAS to have a higher score because he makes so much less money and is expected to do less. What more can the guy do? Nobody on the team is a better producer than he is per at bat!

-TSE

Scottwood said...

Every advanced statistic favors Cabrera. WAR, OPS, wOBA, RC, etc. He has statistically been the best Tigers hitter. And, I based my grading on how they compared to other players at their respective positions. At the time of my post, Thames was an above average DH, and that is reflected in his grading.

Anonymous said...

I think I commented in the wrong section, but anyhow, you are wrong. EVERY advanced statistic does not. Well I use my own, and my own has Thames higher than Cabrera.

I don't know the exact numbers offhand on the ones you cited, but if they all have Cabrera higher than I would imagine the gap couldn't be THAT LARGE.

For example, after the all star break i had Thames at .509 to Cabrera at .500, it was pretty close.

If you want to see my whole chart of numbers, you can find them on Real GM in the Tiger's forum under "Begging for Offense" to see the rankings I have in comparison to yours if you would like to comment on what you agree with or disagree with in relation to yours!

Scottwood said...

You would have to describe your stat to have me comment on it. The differences are not that large between Cabrera and Thames but Cabrera has more value b/c he plays in the field and he did not miss a large chunk of time like Thames did. Additionally, like I said, he ranks ahead of Thames in pretty much every advanced stat that I look at.

Here is a good site to check some things out at...

http://www.fangraphs.com/index.aspx

If you are into SABRmetric thinking, it is a pretty addicting site.

Anonymous said...

Yeah I'm SABR friendly however I disagree with a big portion of SABRs on their methods, so I'm like an alien SABR using my own stuff.

No doubt Cabrera is more valuable as a player, but also a big reason is normally Cabrera has a higher number than Thames and also he does for his career, it just happens to be that this first half of a season Thames beat him. That's why I think the grades on just purely how they did this year given what they were asked to do and paid to do, Thames is a monster A+ without a doubt. And the reason is because on a PER AT BAT ratio, he was the #1 most effective hitter on the team, and he got paid a tiny fraction of Cabrera and still outproduced him at that job.

If you go to that site you can see my numbers but other than that best I can describe my formula is that it is similar to OPS but tweaked around to something that I think is more logical and a better more accurate measure than OPS in determining a hitter's value.

I like analogies, so I will say OPS is like a Budweiser and my formula is like a microbrew. Sure both are beers and will get you drunk, but OPS is a simple and shoddy product, whereas mine is more expensive and premium, and uses slightly better ingredients and a more careful process of manufacturing a better quality product, and is being brewed by a more talented beer craftsman rather than an assembly line of average workers.

Or you could say OPS is like PS2, and mine is like PS3, it's just an upgraded and improved upon version of somebody's earlier draft that aimed for a lower ceiling of what it can do.

-TSE